Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (119-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 12 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter