🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% -
Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% -
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (105-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 13-24 1-6 7-8 3 4 2 0 34 19 -
Ricky Rubio * 30 3-10 0-4 5-6 4 4 1 0 11 10 -
Aron Baynes * 28 4-8 1-4 0-0 10 1 0 0 9 12 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 6 9 -
Dario Saric * 22 3-6 2-5 3-3 10 2 0 0 11 17 -
Cameron Johnson 33 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 3 0 1 5 6 -
Jevon Carter 19 0-3 0-2 0-2 3 3 2 0 0 5 -
Mikal Bridges 19 2-2 1-1 1-1 4 2 0 0 6 10 -
Frank Kaminsky 17 4-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
Tyler Johnson 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 5 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 36 5-13 1-4 5-5 8 2 3 0 16 16 -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 10-25 4-11 7-8 5 6 1 0 31 18 -
Glenn Robinson III * 34 4-7 0-0 4-4 6 1 3 0 12 15 -
Draymond Green * 32 4-14 2-5 1-2 7 4 0 3 11 11 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 25 4-6 0-0 1-3 4 1 2 0 9 10 -
Alec Burks 25 5-14 1-3 2-3 5 1 1 0 13 6 -
Ky Bowman 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 1 5 7 -
Marquese Chriss 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Jacob Evans 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Alen Smailagic 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter