Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -26 (86-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 24 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 26 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 21 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 14 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Evan Turner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chandler Parsons | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter