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2019-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (129-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Love * 34 10-16 6-11 4-6 7 4 0 0 30 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 9-20 0-2 3-3 4 2 1 0 21 - -
Cedi Osman * 29 5-11 0-3 0-0 5 4 1 1 10 - -
Tristan Thompson * 29 5-10 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 0 12 - -
Darius Garland * 27 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 25 5-9 1-3 5-5 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 5 - -
Dante Exum 14 3-3 1-1 2-4 0 1 2 0 9 - -
John Henson 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ante Zizic 4 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 32 11-20 5-10 3-3 5 2 0 2 30 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 13-20 5-10 3-4 9 2 0 0 34 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 5-15 1-8 2-2 4 4 0 2 13 - -
Gordon Hayward * 27 3-9 0-3 1-1 5 8 0 1 7 - -
Daniel Theis * 20 3-6 1-2 2-2 6 2 2 2 9 - -
Enes Kanter 22 7-10 0-0 0-0 9 3 2 2 14 - -
Brad Wanamaker 19 2-5 1-3 3-3 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Grant Williams 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 - -
Romeo Langford 15 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Javonte Green 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tremont Waters 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter