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2019-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% - ✗
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✗
Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - ✗

Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (104-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 43 4-19 2-9 8-10 10 7 0 0 18 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 40 7-13 3-7 4-4 15 0 2 1 21 - -
Treveon Graham * 39 3-6 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Robert Covington * 39 8-19 2-8 1-2 8 1 0 2 19 - -
Shabazz Napier * 21 1-7 0-6 0-0 3 9 2 0 2 - -
Jeff Teague 36 5-17 1-6 4-4 6 3 0 1 15 - -
Josh Okogie 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Noah Vonleh 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Jarrett Culver 14 2-7 0-2 1-3 2 0 2 1 5 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 12 0-6 0-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richaun Holmes * 44 9-15 0-0 2-2 18 3 2 2 20 - -
Harrison Barnes * 41 2-12 2-4 5-6 10 1 0 0 11 - -
Buddy Hield * 36 6-20 3-11 2-2 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 19 6-10 0-3 6-7 4 0 1 0 18 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 43 8-28 3-16 0-2 7 2 1 3 19 - -
Cory Joseph 39 3-10 0-1 4-4 6 7 2 0 10 - -
Trevor Ariza 33 0-3 0-2 0-0 11 3 1 0 0 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 16 2-6 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 1 7 - -
Yogi Ferrell 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter