Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -13 (97-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 34 | 9-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 21 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 32 | 8-21 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 16 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Hervey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter