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2019-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - ✓
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 ✓ (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +30 (132-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 23 5-14 0-5 5-7 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Ish Smith * 22 3-11 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Admiral Schofield * 19 0-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 19 1-4 0-1 3-4 5 0 1 1 5 - -
Isaac Bonga * 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnathan Williams 32 4-6 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 1 9 - -
Gary Payton II 30 4-8 2-3 0-0 5 5 1 2 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 27 6-14 1-2 0-1 6 1 1 0 13 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 23 7-11 0-0 3-5 6 1 2 0 17 - -
Jordan McRae 15 5-10 1-3 4-6 2 2 0 1 15 - -
Justin Robinson 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Garrison Mathews 8 1-2 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Griffin * 26 5-11 0-6 4-6 11 4 0 1 14 - -
Tim Frazier * 26 5-8 5-6 2-2 2 6 0 0 17 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 24 4-11 4-9 0-0 4 4 1 0 12 - -
Andre Drummond * 24 5-6 0-0 4-7 10 0 0 1 14 - -
Tony Snell * 22 3-9 2-8 2-2 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Bruce Brown 27 5-6 2-2 0-0 5 5 2 1 12 - -
Christian Wood 23 7-9 2-4 6-6 7 3 0 1 22 - -
Derrick Rose 21 6-11 3-6 0-0 2 6 1 0 15 - -
Langston Galloway 17 2-5 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Thon Maker 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 1 4 - -
Markieff Morris 8 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Louis King 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter