Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 11-18 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 31 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 21 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 29 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 21 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter