Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +12 (116-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 11-32 | 0-8 | 8-8 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 15 | - | |
| James Harden * | 38 | 9-18 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 26 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 34 | 5-15 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 27 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Gary Clark | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson III * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 10-10 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 35 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 8-19 | 1-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter