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2019-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - ✗
Margin 52.7% 47.3% -0.6 ✗ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - ✗
Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 33 12-21 5-9 2-2 8 4 1 0 31 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 4-8 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 1 11 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 8-27 0-7 2-4 14 7 1 1 18 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews * 24 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
George Hill 26 6-7 3-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 15 - -
Kyle Korver 20 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 7 - -
Sterling Brown 12 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 11 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 2 1 5 - -
Robin Lopez 7 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 38 7-10 0-0 1-2 7 14 3 2 15 - -
Josh Richardson * 36 7-20 4-11 0-0 5 4 1 1 18 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 8-16 5-7 1-1 4 2 1 0 22 - -
Al Horford * 32 3-12 3-7 2-2 10 5 1 1 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 28 11-21 3-6 6-6 11 3 0 2 31 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 25 5-10 4-5 2-4 2 0 3 1 16 - -
Mike Scott 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
James Ennis III 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Trey Burke 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter