Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -16 (102-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 5-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 10-13 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 32 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 23 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tremont Waters | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 27 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter