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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% -
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 10-27 1-8 1-2 7 2 0 1 22 5 -
Gorgui Dieng * 29 4-8 1-3 2-2 8 1 3 1 11 16 -
Josh Okogie * 14 0-7 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 1 -
Jarrett Culver * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Robert Covington * 12 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 4 7 -
Jordan McLaughlin 22 7-13 3-6 2-2 2 4 3 0 19 15 -
Treveon Graham 20 2-5 2-3 2-4 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
Jeff Teague 19 3-5 1-1 5-7 1 4 0 1 12 13 -
Kelan Martin 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 8 3 -
Noah Vonleh 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 10 -
Jaylen Nowell 16 1-4 0-3 4-4 1 2 0 0 6 5 -
Keita Bates-Diop 14 3-4 1-2 3-4 1 0 1 0 10 8 -
Jordan Bell 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alec Burks * 34 8-13 3-6 6-6 2 8 3 1 25 26 -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 8-18 5-11 9-10 4 4 0 0 30 20 -
Draymond Green * 32 2-6 0-3 5-5 14 5 2 1 9 25 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 30 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 3 12 17 -
Damion Lee * 28 4-9 2-5 4-4 7 3 1 0 14 16 -
Ky Bowman 22 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 2 -
Eric Paschall 15 3-6 2-2 0-3 2 2 2 1 8 9 -
Marquese Chriss 11 3-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 6 10 -
Jacob Evans 10 0-6 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 -4 -
Kevon Looney 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Jordan Poole 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Omari Spellman 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter