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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 โœ— (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clint Capela * 40 6-13 0-0 3-3 14 2 0 2 15 - -
Russell Westbrook * 40 10-22 3-4 5-6 7 6 1 0 28 - -
P.J. Tucker * 39 2-6 1-4 0-0 10 4 3 0 5 - -
James Harden * 37 10-19 4-11 10-12 5 5 2 1 34 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 32 5-10 4-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 14 - -
Ben McLemore 23 2-9 2-7 2-2 1 0 3 0 8 - -
Austin Rivers 16 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Gary Clark 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 35 13-21 1-4 4-9 9 6 1 0 31 - -
Richaun Holmes * 30 5-8 0-0 2-2 13 3 2 1 12 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 3-10 0-4 3-3 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Buddy Hield * 27 3-12 1-8 3-4 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 23 5-11 0-1 1-1 6 0 0 1 11 - -
Trevor Ariza 34 4-8 2-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 29 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 2 10 - -
Cory Joseph 28 4-6 1-2 0-2 6 2 0 0 9 - -

* = starter