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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (94-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 6-18 2-5 5-5 11 5 2 0 19 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 7-21 4-11 3-3 6 5 1 0 21 - -
Derrick Favors * 30 6-10 0-0 0-2 13 3 1 1 12 - -
JJ Redick * 24 5-10 3-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 16 - -
Lonzo Ball * 17 3-9 1-2 0-0 7 4 2 0 7 - -
E'Twaun Moore 24 5-10 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Kenrich Williams 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 4 - -
Josh Hart 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Nicolo Melli 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Frank Jackson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 9-22 2-10 0-0 4 3 1 0 20 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 37 9-17 1-4 4-4 9 2 1 0 23 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 6-21 0-10 6-6 3 7 2 0 18 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 32 5-10 0-0 1-2 16 2 1 4 11 - -
Kent Bazemore * 31 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 2-6 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Skal Labissiere 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter