Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 12-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 32 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | |
| Monte Morris | 12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 38 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 34 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 16 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter