Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✗ (35.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -30 (115-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 17-25 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 40 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 28 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 25 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 24 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 29 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter