Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles * | 37 | 9-16 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 36 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 8 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 29 | 5-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 27 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter