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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: New York Knicks -6 (115-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 36 13-38 2-11 2-4 4 3 2 2 30 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 28 1-5 0-1 6-11 9 2 1 1 8 - -
Ish Smith * 25 8-14 1-2 0-2 4 4 0 1 17 - -
Admiral Schofield * 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 3 - -
Isaac Bonga * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Gary Payton II 34 4-8 1-1 1-2 11 5 6 0 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 32 9-15 2-4 6-7 9 7 1 1 26 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 19 6-7 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 14 - -
Garrison Mathews 18 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Justin Robinson 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 37 11-21 4-8 9-9 5 2 2 1 35 - -
RJ Barrett * 35 8-15 2-4 0-0 6 4 1 0 18 - -
Elfrid Payton * 30 2-8 1-2 0-0 7 12 1 1 5 - -
Kevin Knox II * 26 2-8 1-4 3-3 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 6 6 - -
Damyean Dotson 27 7-13 5-10 0-2 2 3 0 0 19 - -
Bobby Portis 22 4-10 0-2 0-1 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Allonzo Trier 19 5-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Frank Ntilikina 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 5 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter