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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 66.3% 33.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (120-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 43 10-21 5-12 5-6 6 9 1 0 30 - -
OG Anunoby * 42 6-13 1-6 2-4 12 0 2 1 15 - -
Serge Ibaka * 41 11-21 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 1 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 41 8-18 1-8 4-4 3 11 3 2 21 - -
Patrick McCaw * 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 37 2-3 0-0 4-6 9 6 0 3 8 - -
Terence Davis 19 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 13 1-3 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 1 5 - -
Malcolm Miller 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 41 10-19 2-7 2-3 8 6 0 2 24 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 40 5-14 0-0 2-7 17 3 0 1 12 - -
Myles Turner * 36 9-12 5-6 1-2 7 1 0 3 24 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 35 4-9 2-4 2-2 3 4 4 0 12 - -
Aaron Holiday * 30 7-16 5-10 0-0 1 10 1 1 19 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 5-9 0-2 2-2 2 4 0 0 12 - -
Doug McDermott 23 2-7 2-7 2-2 2 3 1 0 8 - -
Justin Holiday 20 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Edmond Sumner 13 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 1 6 - -

* = starter