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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons -16 (109-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 37 8-14 0-0 0-0 13 17 0 0 16 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 14-21 4-7 3-3 7 3 2 0 35 - -
Josh Richardson * 33 4-11 0-4 1-2 2 3 1 2 9 - -
Al Horford * 30 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 4 1 1 9 - -
Joel Embiid * 27 7-9 1-1 5-6 8 3 1 3 20 - -
James Ennis III 24 2-7 2-4 0-0 7 2 0 2 6 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 21 9-16 3-7 0-0 4 0 3 0 21 - -
Mike Scott 17 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Trey Burke 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Norvel Pelle 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Svi Mykhailiuk * 32 4-7 4-5 1-2 2 4 0 0 13 - -
Tony Snell * 31 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Blake Griffin * 27 2-14 0-6 4-5 5 3 2 0 8 - -
Tim Frazier * 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 7 - -
Thon Maker * 9 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond 32 13-16 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 0 27 - -
Langston Galloway 31 2-8 1-3 1-1 1 4 1 0 6 - -
Derrick Rose 25 7-14 0-4 2-2 3 7 2 1 16 - -
Markieff Morris 22 4-5 2-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Christian Wood 4 4-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter