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2019-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 39 10-19 1-7 2-4 3 1 0 1 23 - -
Trae Young * 36 9-21 5-14 7-9 6 11 4 0 30 - -
John Collins * 34 12-20 2-5 1-1 10 0 2 2 27 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 7-12 5-7 0-0 2 2 3 0 19 - -
Bruno Fernando * 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 23 2-7 1-2 2-2 1 3 1 1 7 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 - -
Vince Carter 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 - -
Jabari Parker 15 3-6 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Damian Jones 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Alex Len 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 35 12-20 0-1 1-2 6 3 1 0 25 - -
Kevin Love * 34 7-16 3-10 3-3 8 5 1 1 20 - -
Cedi Osman * 33 7-15 3-7 1-1 2 3 1 0 18 - -
Tristan Thompson * 32 1-6 0-0 1-2 10 2 2 1 3 - -
Darius Garland * 26 9-14 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 21 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 23 7-10 1-2 0-0 9 1 2 0 15 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 18 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 4 1 0 8 - -
John Henson 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 3 6 - -
Brandon Knight 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter