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2019-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 โœ“ (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -24 (104-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 34 7-10 1-3 4-5 1 5 4 0 19 - -
Will Barton * 31 4-12 0-3 6-6 13 5 2 0 14 - -
Jamal Murray * 31 3-11 0-6 0-0 3 5 1 0 6 - -
Nikola Jokic * 27 5-8 1-1 7-7 6 5 1 1 18 - -
Paul Millsap * 20 8-14 3-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 21 - -
Jerami Grant 22 2-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Malik Beasley 21 6-11 3-7 1-2 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Monte Morris 19 4-10 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 9 - -
Mason Plumlee 18 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 5 1 0 10 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Torrey Craig 2 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Vlatko Cancar 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 33 13-23 1-4 5-6 11 1 0 4 32 - -
Rajon Rondo * 27 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 8 3 0 5 - -
Avery Bradley * 21 2-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Danny Green * 18 1-4 1-3 2-3 4 2 0 0 5 - -
JaVale McGee * 18 3-6 1-1 0-1 5 1 0 2 7 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 25 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 22 0-1 0-1 8-8 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Kyle Kuzma 21 7-15 1-4 1-2 4 0 1 2 16 - -
Quinn Cook 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Dwight Howard 16 4-4 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Troy Daniels 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Jared Dudley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter