Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +28 (117-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Holiday * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 29 | 5-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 25 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 19 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 26 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 21 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 17 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 17 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Mason | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter