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2019-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -
Points Off/Def 19.3% 80.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +26 (119-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 6-17 0-5 2-4 2 4 1 1 14 - -
Devonte' Graham * 32 6-17 6-13 5-7 4 10 0 0 23 - -
Miles Bridges * 31 6-13 2-5 1-1 6 3 1 1 15 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 27 8-11 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 2 18 - -
Nicolas Batum * 21 2-4 1-2 1-1 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Cody Martin 20 1-4 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Malik Monk 20 1-5 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Marvin Williams 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Cody Zeller 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dwayne Bacon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 15-29 4-9 5-5 12 2 1 3 39 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 7-14 1-4 1-3 9 5 0 0 16 - -
Kemba Walker * 30 8-16 5-11 2-2 1 4 0 0 23 - -
Daniel Theis * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Brad Wanamaker 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 8 0 1 0 - -
Enes Kanter 24 3-7 0-0 2-2 13 0 0 1 8 - -
Romeo Langford 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Grant Williams 22 5-6 1-2 1-2 4 2 1 1 12 - -
Javonte Green 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Tacko Fall 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter