Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (110-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 18 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 18 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 41 | 12-23 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 27 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 24 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter