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2019-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - ✓
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 ✗ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gorgui Dieng * 36 3-12 3-7 6-6 12 2 2 1 15 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 13-24 4-6 3-4 6 1 0 3 33 - -
Robert Covington * 30 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 - -
Shabazz Napier * 29 7-15 4-10 0-0 4 4 3 0 18 - -
Josh Okogie * 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Jeff Teague 27 6-9 2-2 4-4 6 8 0 1 18 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 17 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 1 5 - -
Jarrett Culver 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 13 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Noah Vonleh 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 10-25 3-12 6-9 3 7 1 1 29 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 38 6-9 0-0 4-4 22 2 1 7 16 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 8-23 5-10 5-7 2 3 3 1 26 - -
Kent Bazemore * 33 7-12 2-4 3-3 2 2 3 2 19 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Skal Labissiere 25 5-9 1-2 0-0 8 2 0 2 11 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 2-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 15 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter