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2019-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.0% 37.0% -
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -14 (125-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clint Capela * 35 7-8 0-0 0-0 16 3 0 2 14 - -
James Harden * 34 15-27 9-19 8-9 6 7 0 1 47 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Russell Westbrook * 32 11-21 1-2 7-9 4 10 2 1 30 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 29 5-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 11 - -
Ben McLemore 27 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Gary Clark 19 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Austin Rivers 18 3-6 0-1 3-5 2 0 2 0 9 - -
Tyson Chandler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Clemons 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 37 10-16 0-4 6-8 5 4 0 1 26 - -
Devin Booker * 33 6-16 0-3 7-7 6 9 0 0 19 - -
Aron Baynes * 32 6-15 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Elie Okobo * 29 6-10 1-3 4-7 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Dario Saric * 19 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 10 - -
Cameron Johnson 22 3-9 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Ty Jerome 21 6-8 2-4 1-2 4 3 0 0 15 - -
Tyler Johnson 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Frank Kaminsky 13 3-3 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Mikal Bridges 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Cheick Diallo 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter