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2019-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 38 3-18 2-11 0-1 6 1 1 0 8 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 7-19 4-9 7-7 4 5 0 0 25 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 29 8-13 2-3 4-7 3 4 3 0 22 - -
Richaun Holmes * 29 8-13 0-0 2-2 12 2 1 1 18 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 25 7-8 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 1 15 - -
Trevor Ariza 28 5-11 3-8 0-0 8 2 2 1 13 - -
Cory Joseph 26 1-7 0-2 1-2 3 5 1 0 3 - -
Marvin Bagley III 25 4-11 0-2 3-4 11 2 2 0 11 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 30 6-11 2-6 3-3 10 5 0 0 17 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 4-11 2-5 8-10 5 2 3 4 18 - -
Ja Morant * 30 4-13 0-3 5-6 1 4 0 2 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 5-13 2-6 4-4 6 3 0 0 16 - -
Solomon Hill * 27 3-7 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Grayson Allen 20 5-8 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Tyus Jones 18 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 4 2 0 12 - -
Brandon Clarke 18 4-6 0-0 0-2 4 3 1 0 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 14 4-6 1-1 2-2 3 4 2 0 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Caboclo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter