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2019-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -12 (107-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomas Satoransky * 38 6-11 2-6 2-2 8 5 2 0 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 9-15 5-7 10-14 5 5 1 0 33 - -
Kris Dunn * 34 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 4 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 4-8 1-1 3-3 12 1 0 0 12 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 28 6-11 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 2 15 - -
Thaddeus Young 24 3-9 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Coby White 17 6-10 5-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 19 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 4 - -
Denzel Valentine 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 37 8-17 0-1 3-4 13 3 5 2 19 - -
Markieff Morris * 36 8-19 7-12 0-0 2 6 0 0 23 - -
Bruce Brown * 32 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 - -
Tony Snell * 31 4-6 3-3 0-0 1 2 2 1 11 - -
Luke Kennard * 31 6-14 4-9 0-0 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Tim Frazier 28 5-6 1-1 2-2 2 9 1 0 13 - -
Langston Galloway 15 4-8 1-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 14 1-7 0-5 2-2 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Thon Maker 12 2-2 0-0 3-3 0 0 1 1 7 - -

* = starter