Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (106-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 10-22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 33 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Josh Hart | 26 | 3-11 | 0-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Lonzo Ball | 21 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Lee * | 34 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 32 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 29 | 7-13 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter