Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (109-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 23 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 18 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jordan Bell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter