Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (126-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 32 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 28 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 13-18 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 33 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter