Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 20 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 12-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 21 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Allonzo Trier | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 23 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 22 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 26 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 24 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter