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2019-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 18.8% 81.2% +8.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% -
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (122-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 12-24 3-10 10-12 7 6 1 0 37 - -
Davis Bertans * 38 3-15 2-12 2-2 8 3 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 26 4-10 2-4 3-4 2 5 1 0 13 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 15 3-5 0-0 2-3 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Isaac Bonga * 11 0-2 0-0 1-4 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Ish Smith 29 9-9 4-4 4-4 1 2 1 1 26 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 27 5-10 0-2 1-1 7 0 0 0 11 - -
Admiral Schofield 21 2-5 1-3 1-2 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Garrison Mathews 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 40 7-14 3-7 9-11 4 9 1 0 26 - -
Serge Ibaka * 35 7-10 2-3 7-10 10 1 0 3 23 - -
Patrick McCaw * 33 4-8 1-4 2-2 1 1 3 0 11 - -
Fred VanVleet * 33 6-18 1-4 5-7 9 8 1 0 18 - -
OG Anunoby * 32 6-11 2-5 4-6 7 2 0 0 18 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 19 4-8 1-2 5-6 2 4 0 0 14 - -
Terence Davis 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Malcolm Miller 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 12 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter