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2019-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Log Adjusted 14.7% 85.3% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +21 (114-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Snell * 31 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Markieff Morris * 31 3-10 2-7 2-2 6 2 1 2 10 - -
Andre Drummond * 30 5-11 0-1 2-6 11 4 6 0 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 27 4-12 4-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 12 - -
Bruce Brown * 27 4-9 1-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 9 - -
Langston Galloway 26 3-8 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Derrick Rose 23 6-12 0-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 14 - -
Thon Maker 23 4-9 1-3 6-7 7 0 1 0 15 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 9 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Tim Frazier 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 29 9-13 4-7 4-5 5 5 3 1 26 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 0-6 0-3 2-3 3 11 1 1 2 - -
Jayson Tatum * 27 10-17 2-7 4-4 5 3 2 0 26 - -
Daniel Theis * 21 3-7 0-2 2-3 6 1 1 4 8 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 29 8-10 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 18 - -
Enes Kanter 21 4-9 0-0 0-2 18 0 1 1 8 - -
Brad Wanamaker 21 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 3 2 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 18 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Romeo Langford 17 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 6 - -
Tacko Fall 4 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 5 - -

* = starter