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2019-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (119-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 30 5-15 1-7 2-2 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Buddy Hield * 28 3-15 1-9 0-0 7 6 1 0 7 - -
Cory Joseph * 27 3-4 2-2 2-2 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Harrison Barnes * 26 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Richaun Holmes * 24 9-10 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 20 - -
Marvin Bagley III 27 6-12 1-2 4-4 5 1 0 3 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox 24 3-9 0-2 2-2 5 6 3 0 8 - -
Justin James 23 5-11 3-5 1-3 3 2 0 1 14 - -
Yogi Ferrell 22 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 32 6-13 0-0 3-6 9 6 0 2 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 31 4-12 1-5 4-4 6 6 0 0 13 - -
T.J. Warren * 29 10-16 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 23 - -
Aaron Holiday * 29 3-6 3-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 11 - -
Myles Turner * 24 5-9 1-4 6-6 3 2 1 2 17 - -
Justin Holiday 23 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 3 1 2 8 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 7-8 1-1 0-0 3 8 1 0 15 - -
Doug McDermott 21 5-9 3-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Edmond Sumner 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
TJ Leaf 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter