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2019-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (114-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 9-19 4-11 2-2 3 1 0 2 24 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 5-16 4-9 2-2 7 4 2 1 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 30 7-13 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 4 14 - -
Ja Morant * 28 4-11 0-2 0-0 5 11 0 0 8 - -
Jae Crowder * 28 5-15 0-6 0-0 4 2 2 1 10 - -
Tyus Jones 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 3-5 2-3 0-1 3 4 2 0 8 - -
Solomon Hill 14 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Grayson Allen 10 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 31 5-14 0-0 0-0 15 3 0 1 10 - -
Darius Garland * 29 4-10 2-5 4-4 5 2 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Love * 28 6-13 5-11 4-6 13 1 0 0 21 - -
Collin Sexton * 24 2-12 0-1 5-6 3 3 0 1 9 - -
Cedi Osman * 21 5-9 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Jordan Clarkson 30 12-17 6-8 3-5 6 1 0 1 33 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 22 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 - -
John Henson 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 7 3 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 - -

* = starter