🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (111-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 43 11-25 0-6 14-17 10 5 1 3 36 - -
LeBron James * 36 8-19 3-7 2-2 12 11 0 0 21 - -
Danny Green * 35 7-13 7-12 0-1 4 0 0 1 21 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 34 7-12 2-6 2-2 1 3 1 0 18 - -
JaVale McGee * 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 4 - -
Avery Bradley 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Rajon Rondo 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Alex Caruso 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dwight Howard 15 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Troy Daniels 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Dudley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 11-19 5-8 7-10 11 7 1 1 34 - -
Brook Lopez * 32 3-8 0-3 4-4 4 2 4 3 10 - -
Wesley Matthews * 30 4-9 3-7 2-4 4 2 3 1 13 - -
Khris Middleton * 28 5-10 2-5 3-5 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 27 2-7 1-4 0-0 6 6 1 0 5 - -
George Hill 27 7-12 3-5 4-4 3 1 0 0 21 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 - -
Sterling Brown 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 - -
Kyle Korver 13 1-3 1-3 3-3 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Pat Connaughton 8 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Robin Lopez 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter