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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.7% 48.3% -
Margin 62.2% 37.8% -2.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 32 9-23 5-12 3-4 1 7 1 2 26 - -
Draymond Green * 29 2-6 1-1 2-4 5 2 3 0 7 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 29 6-13 5-7 0-0 4 0 0 1 17 - -
Damion Lee * 24 1-7 0-2 2-2 6 6 0 0 4 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 22 6-8 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Alec Burks 33 6-20 4-9 0-0 6 4 1 1 16 - -
Eric Paschall 17 5-10 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Marquese Chriss 16 2-2 0-0 6-9 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Jacob Evans 11 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Omari Spellman 11 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 5 - -
Jordan Poole 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 11-19 3-8 5-6 5 3 1 0 30 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 9-20 2-8 11-13 5 13 1 1 31 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 32 8-14 0-0 0-0 23 0 0 2 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 30 7-17 1-4 2-2 8 0 2 2 17 - -
Kent Bazemore * 29 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 2-7 1-5 2-2 3 1 1 1 7 - -
Anfernee Simons 19 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Anthony Tolliver 17 2-3 1-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Skal Labissiere 14 3-6 0-1 4-4 7 0 0 0 10 - -

* = starter