Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 15 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 39 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 11-19 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 20 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter