Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 10-23 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 35 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 9-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 4-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 25 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter