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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% - ✓
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 ✓ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - ✓
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (126-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 33 5-12 2-3 3-4 6 2 0 1 15 - -
Ja Morant * 32 9-16 1-1 3-5 5 7 0 0 22 - -
Jae Crowder * 32 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 11-16 2-3 0-0 9 3 0 0 24 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 15 4-9 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 9 - -
Solomon Hill 28 2-6 2-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 13-19 0-2 1-1 7 1 0 0 27 - -
Kyle Anderson 15 3-5 0-1 3-3 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Tyus Jones 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 5 2 0 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton 14 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 38 7-16 0-3 6-6 9 1 2 2 20 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 30 7-15 3-7 3-4 3 3 0 0 20 - -
Steven Adams * 30 6-7 0-0 1-4 10 5 0 0 13 - -
Chris Paul * 30 6-10 1-2 5-5 4 5 2 0 18 - -
Terrance Ferguson * 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Dennis Schroder 32 10-19 1-5 10-11 3 7 1 0 31 - -
Abdel Nader 21 3-4 1-2 0-2 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Nerlens Noel 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Darius Bazley 11 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 4 4 - -
Mike Muscala 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter