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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - ✗
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 ✗ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✓
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -8 (99-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 12-22 3-9 7-7 6 5 3 1 34 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 5-20 3-6 5-7 3 3 2 0 18 - -
JJ Redick * 30 4-10 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Derrick Favors * 20 2-2 0-0 2-2 11 0 0 1 6 - -
Kenrich Williams * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Hart 29 4-5 3-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Lonzo Ball 20 4-10 2-7 0-0 6 6 0 0 10 - -
E'Twaun Moore 17 3-7 1-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Jahlil Okafor 12 3-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 41 9-23 2-6 7-9 7 0 2 0 27 - -
Jeff Teague * 33 1-8 1-2 2-3 2 9 0 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie * 25 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 24 5-7 1-3 2-4 8 1 0 0 13 - -
Treveon Graham * 22 4-8 2-4 0-2 6 0 1 0 10 - -
Robert Covington 29 5-17 3-11 2-3 7 2 3 1 15 - -
Shabazz Napier 20 4-10 0-5 2-3 2 6 0 1 10 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 18 1-6 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Noah Vonleh 12 3-5 0-1 1-1 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Jordan Bell 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 6 - -

* = starter