Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (104-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 41 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 10 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter