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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% -
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (109-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 43 6-23 1-8 11-11 5 5 3 0 24 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 38 3-8 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 3 9 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 36 12-19 5-10 2-2 9 1 1 1 31 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 34 7-11 2-3 1-1 7 6 1 0 17 - -
Kris Dunn * 34 5-10 1-2 4-6 5 5 1 0 15 - -
Thaddeus Young 19 1-10 0-4 0-0 9 2 2 1 2 - -
Coby White 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Daniel Gafford 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Denzel Valentine 8 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Shaquille Harrison 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 40 4-19 1-9 13-14 7 7 1 2 22 - -
Davis Bertans * 36 8-15 7-13 3-3 7 1 1 1 26 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 30 5-15 3-9 3-4 2 1 0 0 16 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 24 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 8 - -
Isaac Bonga * 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Ish Smith 33 3-10 0-1 0-0 5 6 0 0 6 - -
Anzejs Pasecniks 27 3-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 9 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 22 3-8 2-5 2-4 6 2 3 0 10 - -
Admiral Schofield 17 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 2 3 1 5 - -
Garrison Mathews 12 1-3 0-2 3-3 4 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter