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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Log Adjusted 76.7% 23.3% -
Points Off/Def 65.4% 34.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -13 (99-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 39 5-17 3-6 7-8 10 10 2 1 20 26 -
Pascal Siakam * 35 10-23 6-11 0-0 5 3 1 4 26 16 -
OG Anunoby * 34 7-12 2-5 3-3 8 3 0 1 19 19 -
Norman Powell * 33 2-7 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 9 8 -
Marc Gasol * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
Serge Ibaka 30 10-18 1-4 4-5 13 2 1 0 25 23 -
Patrick McCaw 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 13 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 3 0 5 8 -
Terence Davis 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 3 -
Chris Boucher 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Malcolm Miller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 37 9-16 0-0 4-7 18 0 2 2 22 28 -
Blake Griffin * 32 6-13 1-5 2-2 2 4 0 2 15 10 -
Luke Kennard * 31 2-5 2-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 7 7 -
Tony Snell * 26 2-9 1-8 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 4 -
Bruce Brown * 19 5-8 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 12 9 -
Derrick Rose 28 8-17 0-4 0-1 4 5 0 1 16 9 -
Langston Galloway 21 2-7 1-6 1-2 4 0 4 0 6 7 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 3-5 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
Markieff Morris 15 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 -
Christian Wood 6 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
Thon Maker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter