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2019-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (100-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 38 3-16 2-9 1-2 1 9 2 1 9 - -
Terry Rozier * 37 12-27 7-15 4-4 3 2 4 0 35 - -
Cody Zeller * 31 6-10 0-1 3-4 9 1 2 0 15 - -
Miles Bridges * 20 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 18 2-4 0-0 0-3 7 2 0 1 4 - -
Marvin Williams 29 4-10 2-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 10 - -
Cody Martin 28 2-6 0-2 1-1 2 4 3 0 5 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Dwayne Bacon 11 1-3 0-1 2-4 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Malik Monk 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 36 6-9 0-0 2-2 13 2 1 0 14 - -
Cedi Osman * 32 8-12 1-4 1-4 3 1 2 1 18 - -
Kevin Love * 32 5-9 4-6 2-2 14 7 1 1 16 - -
Collin Sexton * 30 10-14 0-1 3-3 2 2 3 0 23 - -
Darius Garland * 27 3-10 1-7 0-0 1 6 0 0 7 - -
Jordan Clarkson 24 4-9 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 1-3 0-2 1-2 6 0 0 1 3 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 - -
John Henson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter