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2019-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.7 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: New York Knicks +23 (143-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 41 16-29 7-13 3-4 4 8 0 0 42 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 5-14 2-7 2-3 3 5 3 1 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 31 8-19 0-5 3-4 5 4 1 0 19 - -
Jabari Parker * 19 4-9 0-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 10 - -
Damian Jones * 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 26 3-8 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Alex Len 24 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Vince Carter 23 5-9 4-7 1-3 0 1 0 2 15 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Allen Crabbe 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 28 10-13 2-3 5-8 6 1 1 0 27 - -
Julius Randle * 22 7-15 0-1 3-4 11 2 0 0 17 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 21 6-11 3-5 7-7 4 2 0 0 22 - -
Taj Gibson * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Mitchell Robinson 29 9-13 0-0 4-4 13 0 1 2 22 - -
Damyean Dotson 24 3-6 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Knox II 23 7-14 3-9 0-0 2 2 3 1 17 - -
Bobby Portis 20 4-7 2-4 1-2 7 2 1 0 11 - -
Elfrid Payton 20 2-7 0-0 1-2 0 9 0 1 5 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 12 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 5 1 1 8 - -

* = starter