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2019-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 โœ— (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana Pacers +3 (105-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 34 8-20 0-6 4-8 9 9 0 0 20 - -
Danny Green * 28 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 6 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 4-10 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 10 - -
JaVale McGee * 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 10 - -
Jared Dudley * 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Dwight Howard 26 10-10 0-0 0-3 6 0 0 2 20 - -
Alex Caruso 25 4-8 2-5 1-1 4 3 2 0 11 - -
Rajon Rondo 25 2-9 1-4 2-4 5 7 1 0 7 - -
Avery Bradley 23 6-14 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Troy Daniels 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 34 10-15 1-2 5-8 10 4 0 0 26 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 33 6-16 2-4 0-0 5 6 0 1 14 - -
T.J. Warren * 32 5-12 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 3 12 - -
Myles Turner * 31 5-9 3-6 3-4 7 0 2 2 16 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 3 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 30 4-8 2-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 11 - -
Justin Holiday 25 2-8 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 18 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 10 - -
Doug McDermott 17 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter