🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% - ✗
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 ✗ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - ✗
Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% - ✗

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 35 6-11 3-5 0-1 8 1 0 1 15 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 32 9-19 4-8 4-4 12 4 0 2 26 - -
Jalen Brunson * 32 4-9 1-2 4-4 4 11 1 0 13 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 24 1-10 0-5 4-6 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Powell * 19 1-6 0-4 2-2 8 1 0 1 4 - -
Maxi Kleber 28 4-7 2-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 10 - -
Seth Curry 26 9-15 4-8 4-4 5 4 0 0 26 - -
Delon Wright 18 5-6 1-1 2-2 3 2 4 1 13 - -
Justin Jackson 16 2-5 1-3 2-4 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Courtney Lee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 34 18-31 1-6 11-16 14 4 1 1 48 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 29 2-8 0-3 1-2 10 9 3 1 5 - -
Khris Middleton * 28 4-12 1-5 0-0 6 3 1 1 9 - -
Wesley Matthews * 24 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Brook Lopez * 20 1-8 0-4 1-1 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Kyle Korver 24 6-8 5-7 0-0 2 3 0 1 17 - -
George Hill 24 4-10 0-4 2-2 2 3 2 0 10 - -
Sterling Brown 22 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 17 4-11 1-3 2-3 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Robin Lopez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter